Some seem to think so. A friend asked my opinion on this piece at CVG called “Is the novelty of Wii wearing off?” It mentions the console’s slowing sales in Japan, the lack of releases, and raises the question of whether the console can survive, or whether it was just a flash in the pan, soon remembered as a novelty while Microsoft and Sony get back to the business of fighting the good fight.
The answer I believe is that, while the novelty factor is huge with the Wii, it will survive, and speculating about its doom now is awfully short-sighted. For one thing, all console sales are slowing now. The holiday season is well over, far enough gone that most of those who didn’t get what they wanted for Christmas have gone ahead and made their own wishes come true one way or another. But, more importantly, game releases for all platforms from January through May are so dire that, if there wasn’t anything the past few months that made you want to buy a new console, you sure as hell won’t want to buy one now. On the Xbox 360, between now and May, Ghost Recon 2 is about the only title worth getting excited about, with PS3 having just MotorStorm.
Comparatively the Wii actually looks better than the competition, with games like SSX Blur, Tiger Woods, and Super Paper Mario having the potential to impress. The problem is, none of them are the big first-party hitters everyone’s waiting for: Metroid, Mario, and Super Smash Bros. Interesting that for years gamers have lambasted Nintendo for not having any third-party support. Now they’re getting it and all anyone wants are first-party titles.
Anyhow, the Wii is doing just fine, the conclusion CVG ultimately comes to as well. Nintendo went from dead last in the previous console generation to a solid second place overnight with the Wii, and they’ll only be going up from here.
UPDATE: The sky may not be falling for Nintendo, but toymaker Tomy is saying that theirs is, and it’s primarily thanks to the Wii. They’re blaming the console for a $14 million loss, a huge turn around from their anticipated $42 million profit!